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SAG Awards 2023 Predictions: Top Contenders and Surprising Upsets

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The awards season train is pulling into its penultimate stop before heading to the Dolby Theatre. The last stop before Oscar voting closes is often where narratives harden, momentum crystallizes, and actors — the Academy’s largest voting bloc — make their collective preferences known. The Acto

February 26, 2026


The 2023 awards season is nearing its climax as the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Awards loom, offering crucial insight into potential Oscar outcomes. Known for its predictive power, especially in acting categories, the SAG Awards serve as a significant indicator due to the considerable overlap in membership with the Academy’s acting branch. This year’s nominees span a rich spectrum, from blockbuster hits to profound dramas, setting the stage for both expected victories and potential surprises.

Best Cast Ensemble Showdown

The prestigious Best Cast Ensemble category is generating intense competition. On one side is Ryan Coogler’s vampire epic, Sinners, headlined by Michael B. Jordan. This film has captivated audiences and critics alike, reflecting a strong industry backing. On the opposite end is Paul Thomas Anderson’s political saga, One Battle After Another, featuring a stellar ensemble cast including Leonardo DiCaprio.

Outstanding Actor Race

This category promises excitement and unpredictability. Michael B. Jordan’s portrayal of twin brothers in Sinners is garnering buzz, potentially leading to a victorious night. However, Timothée Chalamet, last year’s SAG winner for A Complete Unknown, remains a formidable contender for his role in Marty Supreme. Although no actor has won consecutive SAG awards in the same category, Chalamet’s performance is compelling enough to challenge this trend. Not to be overlooked, Ethan Hawke’s portrayal in Blue Moon adds another layer of intrigue to the race.

Notable Female Performances

In the realm of leading actresses, Jessie Buckley shines in the intimate drama Hamnet, continuing her impressive awards season run. Meanwhile, Rose Byrne’s television background gives her an edge, though Kate Hudson’s industry connections make her a strong competitor.

Supporting Roles Seal the Deal

In the supporting categories, the competition is fierce. Wunmi Mosaku, riding high off a BAFTA win for her role in Sinners, is in a close race with Amy Madigan from Weapons and Teyana Taylor from One Battle After Another. For supporting actors, Benicio Del Toro’s critically acclaimed performances position him as a front-runner, though Sean Penn’s unexpected BAFTA triumph and Jacob Elordi’s Golden Globe win add to the suspense.

Stunts and Television Acknowledgments

The SAG Awards also highlight the artistry of stunt performers. The high-octane F1 could surpass Tom Cruise’s daring feats in Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning. On television, HBO Max’s The Pitt and Apple TV’s The Studio are favorites, following their Emmy successes, to clinch the top ensemble awards.

The SAG Awards remain an essential barometer for the Oscars, with its outcomes providing vital clues for predicting the season’s ultimate winners.


Originally reported by variety.com. Rewritten by 360DailyTrend editorial staff.

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